Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saint Martin vs Grenada

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Kirani James Athletic Stadium, St. George's
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Akins L.
Assist: Berkeley-Agyepong J.
38' Event
Charles-Cook R.
46'
Sub
Charles-Cook R. In: Francis J.
Out: Charles-Cook R.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Saint Martin and Grenada finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grenada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Saint Martin
15%
Draws
21%
Grenada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Saint Martin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Saint Martin a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Grenada have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Saint Martin Clean Sheet 10%
Grenada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Martin Grenada
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.87 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Grenada vs Saint Martin
0:3
Sep 7, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Martin vs Grenada
0:2
Nov 16, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
Grenada vs Saint Martin
5:2
Aug 3, 2002 Gold Cup
Saint Martin vs Grenada
1:7
Jul 5, 2002 Gold Cup
Grenada vs Saint Martin
8:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Martin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Grenada Compare

Top Goalscorer Akins L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Charles-Cook R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Martin 83 / 100
Grenada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Martin Grenada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Martin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.20 goals per match.

Saint Martin scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Grenada conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Saint Martin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint Martin VS Grenada
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Martin

(Home)
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Saint Martin
0 : 1
Belize
12 Nov
Dominica
1 : 2
Saint Martin
09 Nov
Saint Martin
1 : 2
Anguilla
Page 1 of 6

Grenada

(Away)
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3
Kenya
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
18 Jan
Grenada
0 : 1
Jamaica
15 Nov
Grenada
4 : 1
United States Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Bonaire 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
4 Montserrat 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 4 1 1 15:3 13
2 Saint Lucia 6 3 0 3 7:15 9
3 Grenada 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Saint Martin 6 2 0 4 8:13 6
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 6 0 0 29:5 18
2 Puerto Rico 6 3 0 3 11:12 9
3 Sint Maarten 6 3 0 3 7:18 9
4 Aruba 6 0 0 6 5:17 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominican Republic 6 6 0 0 27:4 18
2 Bermuda 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 Dominica 6 1 1 4 6:18 4
4 Antigua and Barbuda 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)