Sport Picks
Saint Martin vs Saint Lucia
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Daren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet 
Match Events
15'
15'
Charles R.
30'
30'
Raga Rigobert A.
Assist: Varsovie S.
46'
46'
Sub
Nelson S. In: Joseph L.
Out: Nelson S.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Saint Martin and Saint Lucia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Lucia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Martin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Saint Martin come out ahead of Saint Lucia on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Saint Martin's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Saint Martin Clean Sheet 20%
Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saint Martin | Saint Lucia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 14, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Lucia vs Saint Martin
0:4
Oct 12, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Martin vs Saint Lucia
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saint Martin Compare
Top Goalscorer Raga Rigobert A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Saint Lucia Compare
Top Goalscorer Elva C.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saint Martin 85 / 100
Saint Lucia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saint Martin Saint Lucia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saint Martin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saint Lucia let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Saint Martin scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Saint Martin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Saint Martin VS Saint Lucia
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Saint Martin
(Home) 26 Sept
Saint Martin
0 : 2 United States Virgin Islands
23 Sept
Bahamas
0 : 8 Saint Martin
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3 Saint Martin
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1 Barbados
15 Nov
Saint Martin
0 : 1 Belize
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Saint Martin
0 : 2 United States Virgin Islands
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1 Barbados
15 Nov
Saint Martin
0 : 1 Belize
09 Nov
Saint Martin
1 : 2 Anguilla
25 May
Saint Martin
4 : 1 Saint Kitts and Nevis
Page 1 of 3
Saint Lucia
(Away) 26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0 Saint Lucia
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1 Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1 Saint Lucia
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0 Saint Lucia
10 Jun
Saint Lucia
2 : 1 Barbados
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Barbados
2 : 0 Saint Lucia
27 Mar
Azerbaijan
6 : 1 Saint Lucia
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1 Saint Lucia
12 Nov
Cuba
3 : 0 Saint Lucia
06 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0 Saint Lucia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Salvador | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bonaire | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | 3 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 3 | Grenada | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Saint Martin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | 6 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haiti | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:18 | 9 |
| 4 | Aruba | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:17 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Bermuda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 12 |
| 3 | Dominica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
| 4 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
