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Saint-Maur W vs Lens W Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Coupe de France Women 2023/2024
Saint-Maur W Logo

Saint-Maur W

0 - 4
FT
Lens W Logo

Lens W

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Prette A.
45' Event
Jeudy S.
52' Event
Saidi K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Lens W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Saint-Maur W
15%
Draws
85%
Lens W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lens W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lens W come out ahead of Saint-Maur W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lens W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lens W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lens W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Saint-Maur W Clean Sheet 23%
Lens W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Maur W Lens W
Matches Played 24 41
Wins 3 18
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.79 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Coupe de France Women
Saint-Maur W vs Lens W
0:4
Mar 20, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Lens W vs Saint-Maur W
1:2
Oct 31, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Maur W vs Lens W
1:3
Feb 7, 2021 Seconde Ligue Women
Saint-Maur W vs Lens W
0:0
Sep 27, 2020 Seconde Ligue Women
Lens W vs Saint-Maur W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint-Maur W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Lens W Compare

Top Goalscorer Prette A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeudy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Maur W 10 / 100
Lens W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Maur W Lens W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lens W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lens W conceded in 80% of 41 recent games.

Saint-Maur W scored in 79% of their last 24 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Lens W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lens W
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Maur W

(Home)
12 Jan
Saint-Maur W
0 : 4
Strasbourg W
14 Jan
Saint-Maur W
0 : 4
Lens W
22 May
Saint-Maur W
1 : 2
Lille W
08 May
Nantes W
4 : 0
Saint-Maur W
24 Apr
Saint-Maur W
0 : 2
Saint-Malo W
Page 1 of 5

Lens W

(Away)
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Brest W 6
Beauvais W 0
Montauban W 2
Clermont W 0
OL Lyonnes W 4
Montpellier W 0
Bourges 18 W 0
Nantes W 1
Fleury 91 W 2
Guingamp W 0
Bastiais W 0
Dijon W 10
Le Mans W 2
Lille W 3
Genas Azieu W 0
Marseille W 3
Orvault W 0
Le Havre W 3
Paris FC W 3
Bordeaux W 0
Saint-Maur W 0
Lens W 4
Nice W 0
Strasbourg W 1
Stade Auxerrois W 0
Le Puy W 1
Roubaix W 0
Reims W 5
Toulouse W 1
St Etienne W 3
CPB Brequigny W 0
PSG W 4
1/8-finals
Brest W 3
Montauban W 4
OL Lyonnes W 6
Nantes W 0
Fleury 91 W 4
Dijon W 1
Lille W 4
Marseille W 2
Le Havre W 0
Paris FC W 2
Lens W 2
Strasbourg W 1
Le Puy W 2
Reims W 1
St Etienne W 1
PSG W 2
Quarter-finals
Montauban W 2
OL Lyonnes W 9
Fleury 91 W 5
Lille W 1
Paris FC W 4
Lens W 0
Le Puy W 0
PSG W 4
Semi-finals
OL Lyonnes W 0
Fleury 91 W 1
Paris FC W 3
PSG W 4
Final
Fleury 91 W 0
PSG W 1