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Saint Michael Lavanttal vs Atus Ferlach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Karnten
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint Michael Lavanttal host Atus Ferlach in the Karnten. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Atus Ferlach have shipped 2.27 goals a game lately, while Saint Michael Lavanttal have conceded 1.83 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Atus Ferlach slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2016, ending 3:4. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.81) point toward Atus Ferlach. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Saint Michael Lavanttal
20%
Draws
40%
Atus Ferlach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Saint Michael Lavanttal haven't matched Atus Ferlach's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Atus Ferlach's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Saint Michael Lavanttal Clean Sheet 11%
Atus Ferlach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Michael Lavanttal Atus Ferlach
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2016 Karnten
Saint Michael Lavanttal vs Atus Ferlach
3:4
Sep 19, 2015 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs Saint Michael Lavanttal
4:1
Apr 12, 2015 Karnten
Saint Michael Lavanttal vs Atus Ferlach
0:1
Aug 15, 2014 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs Saint Michael Lavanttal
0:1
May 17, 2009 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs Saint Michael Lavanttal
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Michael Lavanttal 27 / 100
Atus Ferlach 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Michael Lavanttal Atus Ferlach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atus Ferlach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atus Ferlach has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Saint Michael Lavanttal's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Saint Michael Lavanttal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint Michael Lavanttal VS Atus Ferlach
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Michael Lavanttal

(Home)
04 Oct
Asko Kottmannsdorf
1 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
26 Sept
Saint Michael Lavanttal
1 : 1
Dellach/Gail
18 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
6 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
11 Sept
Nussdorf
0 : 5
Saint Michael Lavanttal
05 Sept
Saint Michael Lavanttal
0 : 3
SAK Klagenfurt
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Atus Ferlach

(Away)
02 Oct
Atus Ferlach
5 : 0
Nussdorf
26 Sept
SAK Klagenfurt
3 : 1
Atus Ferlach
18 Sept
Atus Ferlach
3 : 1
Lendorf
11 Sept
KAC 1909
1 : 0
Atus Ferlach
04 Sept
Atus Ferlach
2 : 2
SC St. Veit
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