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Saint-Pryve vs Caen II

France France

National 2 - Group A 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2022/2023 game between Saint-Pryve and Caen II finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Pryve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Saint-Pryve
20%
Draws
29%
Caen II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saint-Pryve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint-Pryve come out ahead of Caen II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Saint-Pryve's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Saint-Pryve Clean Sheet 20%
Caen II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint-Pryve Caen II
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Pryve vs Caen II
3:2
Dec 3, 2022 National 1 - Group A
Caen II vs Saint-Pryve
1:0
Feb 5, 2022 National 1 - Group A
Caen II vs Saint-Pryve
1:4
Aug 21, 2021 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Pryve vs Caen II
2:0
Apr 24, 2021 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Pryve vs Caen II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint-Pryve 85 / 100
Caen II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint-Pryve Caen II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Pryve Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caen II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Saint-Pryve scored in 66% of their last 38 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Saint-Pryve stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint-Pryve VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint-Pryve

(Home)
16 May
Furiani Agliani
5 : 2
Saint-Pryve
09 May
Saint-Pryve
4 : 2
Epinal
02 May
Chantilly
3 : 2
Saint-Pryve
25 Apr
Biesheim
1 : 1
Saint-Pryve
18 Apr
Saint-Pryve
5 : 2
Blois Foot 41
Page 1 of 8

Caen II

(Away)
03 Jun
Vannes
5 : 0
Caen II
27 May
Caen II
0 : 0
Racing Club de France
13 May
Chambly
2 : 0
Caen II
06 May
Caen II
3 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
29 Apr
Saint-Pryve
3 : 2
Caen II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rouen 30 21 6 3 58:29 69
2 Racing Club de France 30 17 8 5 66:29 59
3 Chambly 30 16 9 5 52:25 57
4 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 13 9 8 33:29 48
5 Saint-Malo 30 11 10 9 41:37 43
6 Poissy 30 13 6 11 43:43 41
7 Beauvais 30 9 12 9 41:37 39
8 Blois Foot 41 30 10 9 11 46:42 39
9 Saint-Pryve 30 10 9 11 28:33 39
10 Granville 30 9 10 11 42:47 37
11 Guingamp II 30 10 7 13 37:48 37
12 Evreux 30 8 10 12 47:59 31
13 Rennes II 30 7 7 16 43:63 28
14 Vannes 30 5 9 16 47:58 24
15 Caen II 30 5 9 16 37:62 24
16 Chartres 30 6 10 14 33:53 23
Promotion - National 2023/2024 (Main)