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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 vs Canada U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 play Canada U20 in the CONCACAF Championship U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 averaged 1.73 goals scored and 2.41 conceded. Canada U20 averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. In past meetings, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 won 0, Canada U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 25, 2024 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.12 for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 and 2.96 for Canada U20. This points to a Canada U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20
15%
Draws
51%
Canada U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canada U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 picked up more points recently compared to Canada U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.12 vs 2.96 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Canada U20 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 Canada U20
Matches Played 22 26
Wins 9 12
Draws 0 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.73 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.43 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 vs Canada U20
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.93

Canada U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciccarelli T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Biello A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 33 / 100
Canada U20 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 Canada U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Canada U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 attacking → ← attacking Canada U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

Canada U20 let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Canada U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 40
1.86 Goals expected (xG) 3.50
2.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cuba U20440018:212
2Nicaragua U20430120:29
3British Virgin Islands U2042028:146
4Belize U2041037:123
5Anguilla U2040042:250
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1El Salvador U20431013:210
2Suriname U20430114:89
3Antigua and Barbuda U2042028:56
4Guyana U2041125:114
5Turks and Caicos Islands U2040044:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guatemala U20440015:112
2Curacao U2042113:27
3Aruba U2041216:75
4Barbados U2041126:74
5Saint Martin U2040042:150
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Canada U20330015:09
2Trinidad & Tobago U2032018:56
3Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U2031025:93
4Dominica U2030032:160
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Haiti U2032109:27
2Puerto Rico U2031207:25
3Saint Kitts and Nevis U2031023:93
4Cayman Islands U2030122:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jamaica U2033006:29
2Martinique U2031116:64
3Bermuda U2031025:63
4Grenada U2030125:81