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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Bonaire

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Estadio Cuscatlán
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Match Events

19' Event
Spring D.
Assist: Adams S.
22'
Oleana R.
53'
Burgin N.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Bonaire finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
6%
Draws
4%
Bonaire
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Saint Vincent and the Grenadines taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 20%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Bonaire
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Bonaire vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Bonaire
3:1
Sep 6, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:1
Mar 21, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Bonaire
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Spring D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bonaire Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 85 / 100
Bonaire 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Bonaire

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Bonaire let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Solid form: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines VS Bonaire
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.83
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador650112:615
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines641112:713
3Bonaire61144:84
4Montserrat61053:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao641115:313
2Saint Lucia63037:159
3Grenada62137:67
4Saint Martin62048:136
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti660029:518
2Puerto Rico630311:129
3Sint Maarten63037:189
4Aruba60065:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic660027:418
2Bermuda640215:1312
3Dominica61146:184
4Antigua and Barbuda60152:151