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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs El Salvador

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Arnos Vale Stadium, Kingstown
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Vasquez Velasquez L. S.
Assist: Ceren D.
36'
Sub
Vasquez Velasquez L. S. In: Castillo F.
Out: Vasquez Velasquez L. S.
39'
Clavel R.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League game between Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and El Salvador finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Salvador.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
6%
Draws
4%
El Salvador
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Saint Vincent and the Grenadines's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors El Salvador here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 20%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Vincent and the Grenadines El Salvador
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:2
Oct 11, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs El Salvador
2:3
Jun 9, 2024 World Championship
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs El Salvador
1:3
Oct 7, 2000 World Championship
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs El Salvador
1:2
Jul 22, 2000 World Championship
El Salvador vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer John B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adams J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

El Salvador Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez Velasquez L. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 85 / 100
El Salvador 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines El Salvador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: El Salvador conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines VS El Salvador
2.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.88
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

(Home)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1
Saint Lucia
13 Nov
Dominican Republic
2 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
09 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1 : 0
Cuba
Page 1 of 6

El Salvador

(Away)
10 Jul
Club Tijuana
2 : 2
El Salvador
05 Jul
Los Angeles FC
3 : 0
El Salvador
03 Jul
Los Angeles Galaxy
0 : 3
El Salvador
06 Jun
Qatar
0 : 0
El Salvador
04 Jun
South Korea
1 : 0
El Salvador
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador650112:615
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines641112:713
3Bonaire61144:84
4Montserrat61053:103
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao641115:313
2Saint Lucia63037:159
3Grenada62137:67
4Saint Martin62048:136
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti660029:518
2Puerto Rico630311:129
3Sint Maarten63037:189
4Aruba60065:170
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic660027:418
2Bermuda640215:1312
3Dominica61146:184
4Antigua and Barbuda60152:151
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League (League C)