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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs French Guiana

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines play French Guiana in the CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. French Guiana averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines won 2, French Guiana won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 16, 2023 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and 1.40 for French Guiana. This points to a Saint Vincent and the Grenadines double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
15%
Draws
36%
French Guiana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines picked up more points recently compared to French Guiana.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.04 vs 1.40 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 17%
French Guiana Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Vincent and the Grenadines French Guiana
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
French Guiana vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3:2
Oct 13, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs French Guiana
1:4
Oct 11, 2018 CONCACAF Nations League
French Guiana vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
0:1
Jul 21, 1996 Caribbean Cup
French Guiana vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Sutherland J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

French Guiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemouthe T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 48 / 100
French Guiana 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines French Guiana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines attacking → ← attacking French Guiana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

French Guiana let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

French Guiana lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 38
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.33

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guadeloupe650116:315
2Saint Lucia631210:610
3Sint Maarten62046:156
4Saint Kitts and Nevis61144:124
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nicaragua651017:116
2Dominican Republic631214:610
3Montserrat63039:149
4Barbados60067:260
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1French Guiana631210:610
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines630313:149
3Bermuda62228:98
4Belize62135:77
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guyana550020:515
2Puerto Rico640222:1012
3Antigua and Barbuda61149:224
4Bahamas50147:211