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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Saint Kitts and Nevis

World World

Friendly International 2025 Chili Playing Field, Georgetown
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Haynes C.
67' Event
Springer A.
Own Goal
74' Event
Haynes C.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Saint Vincent and the Grenadines and Saint Kitts and Nevis finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
6%
Draws
4%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines come out ahead of Saint Kitts and Nevis on wins alone.
  • Model gives Saint Vincent and the Grenadines a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 17%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Saint Kitts and Nevis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.75 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Friendly International
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
3:0
May 20, 2025 Friendly International
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:3
Jun 7, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
0:1
Oct 9, 2010 Caribbean Cup
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
1:1
Sep 20, 2009 Friendly International
Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Haynes C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Saint Kitts and Nevis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 84 / 100
Saint Kitts and Nevis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Saint Kitts and Nevis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Saint Kitts and Nevis conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines VS Saint Kitts and Nevis
2.75 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

(Home)
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
16 Nov
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3 : 1
Saint Lucia
13 Nov
Dominican Republic
2 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
09 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1 : 0
Cuba
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Saint Kitts and Nevis

(Away)
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2
Solomon Islands
27 Mar
Indonesia
4 : 0
Saint Kitts and Nevis
18 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 6
Belize
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
05 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
2 : 1
Saint Martin
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