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Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Sint Maarten - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League FFB Stadium, Belmopan
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Anderson O.
Assist: Spring D.
21'
Sub
Olivacce R. In: Gumbs T.
Out: Olivacce R.
36'
Joseph M. M.

AI Match Summary

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
15%
Draws
5%
Sint Maarten
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sint Maarten haven't matched Saint Vincent and the Grenadines's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Saint Vincent and the Grenadines taking it.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 20%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Sint Maarten
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Sint Maarten
4:0
Oct 3, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Spring D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sint Maarten Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 85 / 100
Sint Maarten 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Sint Maarten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines scored in 92% of their last 37 games.

Sint Maarten's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines VS Sint Maarten
2.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

(Home)
06 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
4 : 0
Sint Maarten
03 Oct
Sint Maarten
2 : 4
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
30 Sept
Belize
0 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
26 Sept
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
2 : 1
French Guiana
29 Mar
Barbados
2 : 3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
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Sint Maarten

(Away)
06 Oct
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
4 : 0
Sint Maarten
03 Oct
Sint Maarten
2 : 4
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
29 Sept
French Guiana
1 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Sept
Sint Maarten
0 : 1
Belize
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
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