Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Denis

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023 Stade Nelson Mandela, Sainte-Marie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sainte-Marienne in this Regionale 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sainte-Marienne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sainte-Marienne
20%
Draws
80%
Saint-Denis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saint-Denis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sainte-Marienne haven't matched Saint-Denis's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Saint-Denis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Denis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sainte-Marienne Saint-Denis
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.73 2
Goals Conceded 2.27 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2023 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Denis
1:0
Apr 9, 2023 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Sainte-Marienne
5:1
Sep 4, 2022 Regionale 1
Saint-Denis vs Sainte-Marienne
6:1
Jul 6, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Denis
2:1
Nov 7, 2021 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Saint-Denis
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100
Saint-Denis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sainte-Marienne Saint-Denis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Denis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sainte-Marienne found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Saint-Denis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Saint-Denis's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Saint-Denis
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sainte-Marienne

(Home)
26 Nov
Tamponnaise
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
19 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
1 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
12 Nov
Sainte-Suzanne
4 : 0
Sainte-Marienne
05 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
0 : 3
Saint Louis
22 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
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Saint-Denis

(Away)
23 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Saint-Denis
09 Nov
Saint-Denis
2 : 2
Jeanne d'Arc
02 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 1
Saint-Denis
19 Oct
Sainte Rose
0 : 0
Saint-Denis
12 Oct
Saint-Denis
4 : 0
Trois Bassins
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