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Sainte-Marienne vs Saint Louis Prediction & H2H Stats

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023 Stade Nelson Mandela, Sainte-Marie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint Louis in this Regionale 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint Louis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sainte-Marienne
30%
Draws
70%
Saint Louis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saint Louis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Saint Louis have won more games recently than Sainte-Marienne.
  • Win probability leans Saint Louis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 20%
Saint Louis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sainte-Marienne Saint Louis
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.73 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2023 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Saint Louis
0:3
Jun 4, 2023 Regionale 1
Saint Louis vs Sainte-Marienne
4:1
Nov 27, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Saint Louis
1:0
Mar 27, 2022 Regionale 1
Saint Louis vs Sainte-Marienne
1:2
Oct 17, 2021 Regionale 1
Saint Louis vs Sainte-Marienne
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100
Saint Louis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sainte-Marienne Saint Louis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Louis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sainte-Marienne found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Saint Louis conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Saint Louis lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Saint Louis
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sainte-Marienne

(Home)
26 Nov
Tamponnaise
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
19 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
1 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
12 Nov
Sainte-Suzanne
4 : 0
Sainte-Marienne
05 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
0 : 3
Saint Louis
22 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
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Saint Louis

(Away)
23 Nov
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Sainte Rose
09 Nov
Trois Bassins
2 : 1
Saint Louis
02 Nov
Saint Louis
0 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
19 Oct
Marsouins
1 : 1
Saint Louis
12 Oct
Saint Louis
1 : 0
Riviere des Galets
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