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Sainte-Marienne vs Trois Bassins - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023 Stade Nelson Mandela, Sainte-Marie
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AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 2023 game between Sainte-Marienne and Trois Bassins finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sainte-Marienne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sainte-Marienne
15%
Draws
85%
Trois Bassins
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trois Bassins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trois Bassins come out ahead of Sainte-Marienne on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Trois Bassins taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 20%
Trois Bassins Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sainte-Marienne Trois Bassins
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.73 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2023 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Trois Bassins
3:0
Apr 23, 2023 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Sainte-Marienne
1:0
Oct 16, 2022 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Sainte-Marienne
1:0
Jun 26, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Trois Bassins
1:0
Oct 25, 2020 Regionale 1
Trois Bassins vs Sainte-Marienne
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100
Trois Bassins 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sainte-Marienne Trois Bassins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trois Bassins Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sainte-Marienne scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Trois Bassins let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Trois Bassins lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trois Bassins
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sainte-Marienne

(Home)
26 Nov
Tamponnaise
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
19 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
1 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
12 Nov
Sainte-Suzanne
4 : 0
Sainte-Marienne
05 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
0 : 3
Saint Louis
22 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
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Trois Bassins

(Away)
22 Nov
Dominicaine
2 : 0
Trois Bassins
09 Nov
Trois Bassins
2 : 1
Saint Louis
02 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Trois Bassins
19 Oct
Trois Bassins
1 : 2
Jeanne d'Arc
12 Oct
Saint-Denis
4 : 0
Trois Bassins
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