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Sainte Rose vs Saint-Pauloise FC

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Regionale 1
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AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Sainte Rose and Saint-Pauloise FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Pauloise FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sainte Rose
20%
Draws
38%
Saint-Pauloise FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sainte Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saint-Pauloise FC come out ahead of Sainte Rose on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sainte Rose taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sainte Rose Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Pauloise FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sainte Rose Saint-Pauloise FC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 18
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Saint-Pauloise FC
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Pauloise FC vs Sainte Rose
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Saint-Pauloise FC
0:0
Jun 23, 2024 Regionale 1
Saint-Pauloise FC vs Sainte Rose
1:0
Nov 19, 2022 Regionale 1
Sainte Rose vs Saint-Pauloise FC
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sainte Rose 42 / 100
Saint-Pauloise FC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sainte Rose Saint-Pauloise FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sainte Rose found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Saint-Pauloise FC conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Sainte Rose has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sainte Rose VS Saint-Pauloise FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%