Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Seifi A.
90'
90'
Yazdani M.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Saipa and Damash Gilan finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
30%
14%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saipa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Saipa come out ahead of Damash Gilan on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Saipa's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Saipa Clean Sheet 68%
Damash Gilan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saipa | Damash Gilan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 0.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.64 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 16, 2026 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Damash Gilan
1:1
Sep 24, 2025 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Saipa
0:2
Apr 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Damash Gilan
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Saipa
0:0
Jun 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Saipa
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saipa Compare
Top Goalscorer Seifi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Damash Gilan Compare
Top Goalscorer Yazdani M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saipa 95 / 100
Damash Gilan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saipa Damash Gilan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saipa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Damash Gilan conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Saipa found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Saipa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Saipa VS Damash Gilan
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Saipa
(Home) 16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Naft Bandar Abbas
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Saipa
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Fard
2 : 1 Saipa
21 Jun
Saipa
1 : 0 Ario Eslamshahr
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Naft Bandar Abbas
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
21 Jun
Saipa
1 : 0 Ario Eslamshahr
09 Jun
Saipa
0 : 0 Havadar SC
27 May
Saipa
1 : 0 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 3
Damash Gilan
(Away) 16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0 Fard
11 Jul
Pars Janoobi Jam
4 : 0 Damash Gilan
03 Jul
Damash Gilan
1 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
27 Jun
Havadar SC
4 : 1 Damash Gilan
21 Jun
Damash Gilan
1 : 1 Kara Gostar Shabestar
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Pars Janoobi Jam
4 : 0 Damash Gilan
27 Jun
Havadar SC
4 : 1 Damash Gilan
16 Jun
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0 Damash Gilan
02 Jun
Mazandaran
2 : 0 Damash Gilan
14 May
Niroye Zamini
3 : 0 Damash Gilan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
