Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saipa vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saipa host Shenavarsazi Qeshm in the Azadegan League. This one's hard to separate. Saipa have averaged 1.03 scored and 0.68 conceded recently, against Shenavarsazi Qeshm's 0.76 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Saipa slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 2, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.00) back Saipa to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Saipa
30%
Draws
30%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saipa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Saipa have won more games recently than Shenavarsazi Qeshm.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Saipa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Saipa Clean Sheet 20%
Shenavarsazi Qeshm Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saipa Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.03 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.68 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Azadegan League
Shenavarsazi Qeshm vs Saipa
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Azadegan League
Saipa vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saipa 36 / 100
Shenavarsazi Qeshm 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saipa Shenavarsazi Qeshm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saipa scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Saipa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Shenavarsazi Qeshm has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saipa VS Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saipa

(Home)
04 Oct
Shahin Bandar Ameri
2 : 0
Saipa
28 Sept
Saipa
2 : 1
Niroye Zamini
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 7

Shenavarsazi Qeshm

(Away)
04 Oct
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
27 Sept
Fard
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
21 Sept
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2 : 2
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
15 Sept
Pars Janoobi Jam
0 : 0
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Pars Janoobi Jam 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 2:0 8
4 Besat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 3:2 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Fard 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Foolad Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 5:6 3
13 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
14 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
15 Kara Gostar Shabestar 4 0 2 2 1:4 2
16 Havadar SC 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)