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Saitama W vs Albirex Niigata W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the WE League Cup Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Saitama W at 1.04 goals for, 1.46 against; Albirex Niigata W at 1.41 for, 1.31 against. Head-to-head, Saitama W have won 0 to Albirex Niigata W's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.25) point toward Albirex Niigata W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Saitama W
15%
Draws
28%
Albirex Niigata W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saitama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Albirex Niigata W have won more games recently than Saitama W.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Albirex Niigata W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Albirex Niigata W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Albirex Niigata W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Saitama W Clean Sheet 19%
Albirex Niigata W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saitama W Albirex Niigata W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 1 4
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.04 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:2
Oct 13, 2025 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Saitama W
3:0
Mar 16, 2025 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Albirex Niigata W
0:4
Oct 19, 2024 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Saitama W
2:1
Apr 18, 2024 WE League Women
Saitama W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saitama W 31 / 100
Albirex Niigata W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saitama W Albirex Niigata W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saitama W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Albirex Niigata W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Saitama W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Albirex Niigata W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saitama W VS Albirex Niigata W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saitama W

(Home)
04 Oct
Saitama W
2 : 1
JEF United W
27 Sept
Mynavi Sendai W
1 : 2
Saitama W
23 Sept
Nojima Stella W
1 : 2
Saitama W
19 Sept
Saitama W
0 : 1
Beleza W
13 Sept
C-Osaka W
2 : 3
Saitama W
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Albirex Niigata W

(Away)
04 Oct
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 2
C-Osaka W
27 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
2 : 1
Urawa W
23 Sept
Beleza W
1 : 3
Albirex Niigata W
19 Sept
Mynavi Sendai W
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata W
12 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 6 5 0 1 13:8 14
2 Beleza W 6 4 0 2 14:11 12
3 Omiya Ardija W 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
4 Nojima Stella W 6 3 0 3 9:8 11
5 Saitama W 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
6 Urawa W 6 3 0 3 12:10 10
7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 C-Osaka W 6 3 0 3 11:11 9
9 Mynavi Sendai W 6 2 0 4 5:8 8
10 Albirex Niigata W 5 2 0 3 7:8 5
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 6 2 0 4 8:12 4
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 6 0 0 6 1:12 1
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)