Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sakaryaspor vs 24Erzincanspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum, Adapazari
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sakaryaspor host 24Erzincanspor in the 2. Lig Red Group. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Sakaryaspor at 1.11 goals for, 1.57 against; 24Erzincanspor at 1.62 for, 1.21 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.81, favoring 24Erzincanspor. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sakaryaspor
30%
Draws
32%
24Erzincanspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sakaryaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and 24Erzincanspor come out ahead of Sakaryaspor on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Sakaryaspor taking it.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 11%
24Erzincanspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakaryaspor 24Erzincanspor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakaryaspor 38 / 100
24Erzincanspor 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakaryaspor 24Erzincanspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakaryaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sakaryaspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

24Erzincanspor let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Sakaryaspor found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Sakaryaspor VS 24Erzincanspor
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sakaryaspor

(Home)
11 Oct
Sakaryaspor
2 : 2
Iskenderunspor
06 Oct
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Arit Kayadibi
03 Oct
Kirklarelispor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
27 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Kutahyaspor
20 Sept
K. Istklalspor
1 : 3
Sakaryaspor
Page 1 of 6

24Erzincanspor

(Away)
11 Oct
24Erzincanspor
3 : 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
04 Oct
Iskenderunspor
2 : 3
24Erzincanspor
27 Sept
24Erzincanspor
0 : 0
Kirklarelispor
20 Sept
Kutahyaspor
0 : 1
24Erzincanspor
13 Sept
24Erzincanspor
2 : 2
K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sakaryaspor 6 5 1 0 15:6 16
2 Adana 01 6 4 1 1 12:10 13
3 52 Orduspor 6 4 0 2 12:5 12
4 24Erzincanspor 6 3 3 0 12:8 12
5 Ankara Demirspor 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
6 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
7 Trabzon FK 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
8 12 Bingol Spor 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
9 Karacabey Bld. 5 2 2 1 6:7 8
10 K. Istklalspor 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
11 Ankaragucu 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
12 Serik Spor 6 1 2 3 5:9 5
13 Kirklarelispor 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
14 Inegolspor 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Fethiyespor 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
16 Kutahyaspor 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
17 Iskenderunspor 5 0 1 4 5:15 -1
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)