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Sakhalinets vs Kosmos

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Shishchenko N.
56' Event
Vasichenko R.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Evloev I.

AI Match Summary

Sakhalinets in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sakhalinets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sakhalinets
15%
Draws
28%
Kosmos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakhalinets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sakhalinets at 1.63 per game, Kosmos at 1.37.
  • Sakhalinets are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sakhalinets have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sakhalinets Clean Sheet 20%
Kosmos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakhalinets Kosmos
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Kosmos
2:1
May 21, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Kosmos
1:0
Apr 22, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kosmos vs Sakhalinets
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sakhalinets Compare

Top Goalscorer Shishchenko N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Kosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Evloev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakhalinets 67 / 100
Kosmos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakhalinets Kosmos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakhalinets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Sakhalinets's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kosmos let in goals in 78% of their last 41 matches.

Sakhalinets went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kosmos
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sakhalinets

(Home)
12 Nov
Sakhalinets
2 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
05 Nov
Strogino Moscow
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
29 Oct
Sakhalinets
3 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
23 Oct
Ryazan
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
15 Oct
Sakhalinets
0 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
Page 1 of 6

Kosmos

(Away)
23 Aug
Kosmos
1 : 0
Spartak Moscow 2
16 Aug
FK Tver
1 : 0
Kosmos
08 Aug
Kosmos
1 : 0
Iskra Smolensk
02 Aug
FC Murom
3 : 1
Kosmos
30 Jul
FC 10
3 : 2
Kosmos
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaluga 17 12 3 2 50:6 39
2 Sakhalinets 17 11 3 3 38:21 36
3 Spartak Tambov 17 10 3 4 26:22 33
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 17 10 0 7 30:21 30
5 Arsenal Tula 2 17 8 6 3 24:16 30
6 FK Kompozit 17 8 5 4 28:20 29
7 Saturn Ramenskoye 17 9 2 6 30:18 29
8 SKA Khabarovsk 2 17 8 1 8 30:29 25
9 Penza 17 7 4 6 22:26 25
10 Kosmos 17 6 5 6 24:28 23
11 Sakhalin 17 7 2 8 16:19 23
12 Kvant Obninsk 17 6 5 6 19:27 23
13 Krasnoye Znamya 17 6 4 7 18:26 22
14 Khimki 2 17 6 1 10 20:28 19
15 Ryazan 17 4 3 10 24:27 15
16 Strogino Moscow 17 3 5 9 28:36 14
17 FK Kolomna 17 1 5 11 17:41 8
18 Peresvet 17 2 1 14 21:54 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2023/2024 (Spring Season)