Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sakhalinets vs Kvant Obninsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Melnikov V.
48' Event
Isaev M.
Own Goal
70' Event
Agekyan D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 game between Sakhalinets and Kvant Obninsk finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sakhalinets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sakhalinets
15%
Draws
0%
Kvant Obninsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakhalinets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sakhalinets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sakhalinets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sakhalinets here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sakhalinets Clean Sheet 20%
Kvant Obninsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakhalinets Kvant Obninsk
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 15 1
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 28
Goals Scored 1.63 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Kvant Obninsk
2:1
Oct 8, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Kvant Obninsk
4:1
Aug 10, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs Sakhalinets
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sakhalinets Compare

Top Goalscorer Agekyan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Kvant Obninsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Melnikov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakhalinets 85 / 100
Kvant Obninsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakhalinets Kvant Obninsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakhalinets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kvant Obninsk conceded in 100% of 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Kvant Obninsk lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sakhalinets scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kvant Obninsk
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sakhalinets

(Home)
12 Nov
Sakhalinets
2 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
05 Nov
Strogino Moscow
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
29 Oct
Sakhalinets
3 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
23 Oct
Ryazan
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
15 Oct
Sakhalinets
0 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
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Kvant Obninsk

(Away)
29 Aug
R. Volgograd 2
2 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
22 Aug
Kvant Obninsk
2 : 6
Saturn Ramenskoye
15 Aug
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
11 Aug
Kvant Obninsk
0 : 2
Ryazan
08 Aug
FC Oryol
2 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaluga 17 12 3 2 50:6 39
2 Sakhalinets 17 11 3 3 38:21 36
3 Spartak Tambov 17 10 3 4 26:22 33
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 17 10 0 7 30:21 30
5 Arsenal Tula 2 17 8 6 3 24:16 30
6 FK Kompozit 17 8 5 4 28:20 29
7 Saturn Ramenskoye 17 9 2 6 30:18 29
8 SKA Khabarovsk 2 17 8 1 8 30:29 25
9 Penza 17 7 4 6 22:26 25
10 Kosmos 17 6 5 6 24:28 23
11 Sakhalin 17 7 2 8 16:19 23
12 Kvant Obninsk 17 6 5 6 19:27 23
13 Krasnoye Znamya 17 6 4 7 18:26 22
14 Khimki 2 17 6 1 10 20:28 19
15 Ryazan 17 4 3 10 24:27 15
16 Strogino Moscow 17 3 5 9 28:36 14
17 FK Kolomna 17 1 5 11 17:41 8
18 Peresvet 17 2 1 14 21:54 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2023/2024 (Spring Season)