Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sakhnin vs Maccabi Jaffa

Israel Israel

State Cup 2025/2026 Doha Stadium, Sakhnin
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Abuhatzira Y.
83' Event
Itzhak G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Maccabi Jaffa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Sakhnin
15%
Draws
36%
Maccabi Jaffa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakhnin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Sakhnin haven't matched Maccabi Jaffa's recent run of results.
  • Sakhnin are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Maccabi Jaffa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Maccabi Jaffa, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Maccabi Jaffa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sakhnin Clean Sheet 17%
Maccabi Jaffa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sakhnin Maccabi Jaffa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.6 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 25, 2025 State Cup
Sakhnin vs Maccabi Jaffa
0:2
Feb 2, 1998 Leumit League
Maccabi Jaffa vs Sakhnin
1:1
Sep 6, 1997 Leumit League
Sakhnin vs Maccabi Jaffa
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sakhnin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Maccabi Jaffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Abuhatzira Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Itzhak G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sakhnin 57 / 100
Maccabi Jaffa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sakhnin Maccabi Jaffa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakhnin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Jaffa let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Maccabi Jaffa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sakhnin scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sakhnin VS Maccabi Jaffa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sakhnin

(Home)
19 Sept
Sakhnin
1 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
14 Sept
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 1
Sakhnin
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24 Aug
Netanya
0 : 0
Sakhnin
Page 1 of 6

Maccabi Jaffa

(Away)
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
17 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
0 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
10 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 3
H. Raanana
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
30 Aug
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tirat Karmel 0
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1
Nes Tziona 1
Hapoel Karmiel 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
H. Beer Sheva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Hadera -
TBD -
Hapoel Sderot FC 2
Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1
Hapoel Jerusalem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 7
FC Beer Sheva 0
TBD -
Kiryat Yam -
Beitar Haifa 0
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 5
TBD -
Hapoel Ramat Gan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shmona -
Ironi Tiberias -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Yehuda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Afula -
TBD -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3
M. Herzliya -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Akko -
Kfar Saba 1928 2
Maccabi Yavne 0
TBD -
H. Ironi Rishon -
Maccabi HaSharon Netanya 1
Bnei Jaffa 4
Jerusalem FC 6
Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Netanya -
Sakhnin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Jaffa -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Ashdod -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Haifa -
Jadeidi-Makr 5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1
TBD -
H. Raanana -
Kiryat Haim 1
Hapoel Yarka 2
Kfar Kama 0
Kiryat Gat 1
Ironi Modiin -
TBD -
M. Nazareth 2
Beitar Ramat Gan 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Haifa -
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil 0
Shimshon Tel Aviv 2
TBD -
MS Kafr Qasim -
Shikun Hamizrah 0
Holon Yermiyahu 5
TBD -
Nof Hagalil -
Ironi Or Yehuda 1
FC Dimona 3
TBD -
Maccabi Petah Tikva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Saba -
1/32-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva -
TBD -
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1
Hapoel Karmiel 4
Maccabi Bnei Raina -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -
H. Beer Sheva -
TBD -
Hapoel Hadera 3
Hapoel Sderot FC 4
Hapoel Jerusalem -
TBD -
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 2
Kiryat Yam 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 2
Hapoel Ramat Gan 3
TBD -
Shmona -
Ironi Tiberias -
TBD -
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Yehuda -
TBD -
Hapoel Afula 2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3
M. Herzliya 2
Hapoel Akko 0
Kfar Saba 1928 1
H. Ironi Rishon 0
Bnei Jaffa 1
Jerusalem FC 0
TBD -
Netanya -
Sakhnin -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Jaffa -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Ashdod -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Haifa -
Jadeidi-Makr 0
H. Raanana 1
Hapoel Yarka 0
Kiryat Gat 4
Ironi Modiin 1
M. Nazareth 3
TBD -
Maccabi Haifa -
Shimshon Tel Aviv 0
MS Kafr Qasim 2
Holon Yermiyahu 1
Nof Hagalil 0
FC Dimona 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva 0
TBD -
Hapoel Kfar Saba -
1/16-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva 2
Hapoel Karmiel 1
Maccabi Bnei Raina 1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 0
H. Beer Sheva 2
Hapoel Sderot FC 1
Hapoel Jerusalem 2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan 2
Shmona 3
Ironi Tiberias 1
Beitar Jerusalem 2
Yehuda 2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 1
M. Herzliya 4
Kfar Saba 1928 1
Bnei Jaffa 0
Netanya 6
Sakhnin 0
Maccabi Jaffa 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3
SC Ashdod 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 5
Hapoel Haifa 0
H. Raanana 4
Kiryat Gat 3
M. Nazareth 1
Maccabi Haifa 8
MS Kafr Qasim 3
Holon Yermiyahu 1
FC Dimona 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba 3
1/8-finals
Hapoel Petah Tikva 1
Maccabi Bnei Raina 2
H. Beer Sheva 2
Hapoel Jerusalem 1
Shmona 0
Beitar Jerusalem 2
Yehuda 1
M. Herzliya 0
Netanya 0
Maccabi Jaffa 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2
H. Raanana 0
Maccabi Haifa 1
MS Kafr Qasim 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba 0
Quarter-finals
Maccabi Bnei Raina 0
H. Beer Sheva 3
Beitar Jerusalem 1
Yehuda 2
Maccabi Jaffa 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 5
Maccabi Haifa 2
MS Kafr Qasim 0
Semi-finals
H. Beer Sheva 3
Yehuda 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
Maccabi Haifa 2
Final
H. Beer Sheva 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2