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Saksan vs Falesti Prediction & H2H Stats

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mocanu S.
90' Event
Telic N.

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga 2024/2025 game between Saksan and Falesti finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saksan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Saksan
15%
Draws
17%
Falesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saksan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saksan come out ahead of Falesti on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Saksan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Saksan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Saksan Clean Sheet 19%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saksan Falesti
Matches Played 33 41
Wins 23 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 24
Goals Scored 3.06 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.82 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2025 Super Liga
Saksan vs Falesti
2:0
May 10, 2025 Super Liga
Saksan vs Falesti
2:0
Apr 11, 2025 Super Liga
Falesti vs Saksan
0:3
Nov 2, 2024 Liga 1
Saksan vs Falesti
4:0
Sep 21, 2024 Liga 1
Saksan vs Falesti
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saksan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mocanu S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Telic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Falesti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saksan 85 / 100
Falesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saksan Falesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saksan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saksan scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Falesti let in goals in 76% of their last 41 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Saksan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Falesti
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Saksan

(Home)
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Speranis
21 May
Saksan
2 : 0
Falesti
16 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
10 May
Saksan
2 : 0
Falesti
06 May
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
Saksan
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Falesti

(Away)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dacia Buiucani 10 9 1 0 38:3 28
2 Saksan 10 7 2 1 38:8 23
3 Stauceni 10 6 1 3 17:14 19
4 Victoria 10 4 0 6 21:20 12
5 Falesti 10 2 0 8 12:30 6
6 Floresti 10 0 0 10 3:54 -3
Relegation - Super Liga 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dacia Buiucani 10 9 1 0 38:3 28
2 Saksan 10 7 2 1 38:8 23
3 Stauceni 10 6 1 3 17:14 19
4 Victoria 10 4 0 6 21:20 12
5 Falesti 10 2 0 8 12:30 6
6 Floresti 10 0 0 10 3:54 -3
Relegation - Super Liga 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)