Sport Picks
Saku Sporting vs Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-3, with Tallinna Kalev U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saku Sporting
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tallinna Kalev U21 come out ahead of Saku Sporting on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Saku Sporting's way, sitting at 90%.
- Tallinna Kalev U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tallinna Kalev U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Saku Sporting Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saku Sporting | Tallinna Kalev U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 34 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 2.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.43 | 2.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.27 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 22, 2023 Estonian Cup
Saku Sporting vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saku Sporting 83 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saku Sporting Tallinna Kalev U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saku Sporting Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tallinna Kalev U21 has conceded goals in 91% of their last 34 outings.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Saku Sporting's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 20 recent games.
Saku Sporting went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Saku Sporting VS Tallinna Kalev U21
3.67 Goals Scored 2.25
1.67 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Saku Sporting
(Home) 03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2 Saku Sporting
19 Aug
Olympic Tallinn
0 : 7 Saku Sporting
26 Jul
Saku Sporting
2 : 1 Legion
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0 Saku Sporting
31 Jul
Saku Sporting
3 : 2 Marjamaa Kompanii
Page 1 of 5
26 Jul
Saku Sporting
2 : 1 Legion
31 Jul
Saku Sporting
3 : 2 Marjamaa Kompanii
31 Jul
Saku Sporting
1 : 2 FC Tallinn
22 Jun
Saku Sporting
2 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
27 Jul
Saku Sporting
0 : 2 Rakvere
Page 1 of 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
(Away) 03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2 Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1 Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
25 Aug
Tartu Kalev
1 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
16 Aug
Tabasalu
1 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TBD -
Tartu Kalev 9
FC Sssolutions 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Legion 10
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Imavere Forss -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Alliance -
Elva -
TBD -
TBD -
Saue JK Laagri -
Tervis Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
FCP Parnu -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Raplamaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora IV -
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Kristiine 2
Kohvile 3
Viimsi JK 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 0
Narva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna 2
Rumori Calcio 4
Zenit Tallinn 3
Hiiumaa 1
Tallinna Gorillad -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Jogeva Wolves 0
Kuressaare 8
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Sillamae Silmet -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
Keila JK 11
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Legion II -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Kalju -
TBD -
Tabasalu Ulasabat 4
Flora U19 0
TransferWise 1
Tallinna Wolves 0
TBD -
Tulevik -
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Pelgu City -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev 20
Vana Hea Puur 0
Drakon 0
Nomme Utd 12
TBD -
Tallinn Piraaja -
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2 2
Tartu Kalev 3
TBD -
Levadia -
Legion 3
Johvi Phoenix 0
Tammeka Tartu -
Imavere Forss -
Flora -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus 6
FC Alliance 1
Elva 1
Saue JK Laagri 0
Tervis Parnu 8
FCP Parnu 3
Maksatransport 5
Loo JK 1
Raplamaa 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 5
Valga Warrior 1
JK Poseidon 6
Arukula Vigri 3
Flora IV 2
Maardu Aliens -
FC Tallinn -
Kohvile 0
Viimsi JK 3
Narva -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio 3
Zenit Tallinn 8
Tallinna Gorillad 0
Tabasalu 16
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Helm 2
Parnu 0
Saku Sporting 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Kuressaare -
Jarva-Jaani -
Sillamae Silmet 0
Kose 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Keila JK 0
Legion II 3
Soccernet 1
Kalju 4
Tabasalu Ulasabat 0
TransferWise 0
Tulevik 3
Rumori Calcio II 0
Olympic Tallinn 3
Harju JK Laagri 12
Pelgu City 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 6
Vandra Vaprus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Tallinna Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Eston Villa 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
1/16-finals
Tartu Kalev 2
Levadia 6
Legion 1
Tammeka Tartu 3
Flora 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Elva 5
Tervis Parnu 2
Maksatransport 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 3
JK Poseidon 2
Arukula Vigri 3
FC Tallinn 1
Viimsi JK 2
Narva 5
Zenit Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Helm 3
Tallinna Kalev U21 7
Kuressaare 9
Kose 1
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Legion II 0
Kalju 5
Tulevik 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 8
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Tallinna Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 11
Eston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Levadia 4
Tammeka Tartu 2
Flora 10
Elva 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 9
Arukula Vigri 1
Viimsi JK 1
Narva 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 0
Kuressaare 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Kalju 3
Harju JK Laagri 1
Tallinna Kalev 3
Nomme Utd 1
Quarter-finals
Levadia 2
Flora 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Viimsi JK 3
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Semi-finals
Levadia 1
Viimsi JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 1
Final
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 2
