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Saku Sporting W vs Tallinna Kalev W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Saku Kunstmuruvaljak, Saku
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Treiberg E.
31'
Polluvee E.
50' Event
Gross G.

AI Match Summary

Saku Sporting W in this Meistriliiga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saku Sporting W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Saku Sporting W
33%
Draws
27%
Tallinna Kalev W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Saku Sporting W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Saku Sporting W have won more games recently than Tallinna Kalev W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Saku Sporting W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • History favors Saku Sporting W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 80%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Saku Sporting W Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saku Sporting W Tallinna Kalev W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.63 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.75 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 3.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Tallinna Kalev W
4:0
Sep 26, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs Saku Sporting W
2:4
Jun 20, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Saku Sporting W vs Tallinna Kalev W
5:4
May 11, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs Saku Sporting W
2:2
Oct 18, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs Saku Sporting W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saku Sporting W Compare

Top Goalscorer Toding V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Treiberg E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Tallinna Kalev W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saku Sporting W 38 / 100
Tallinna Kalev W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saku Sporting W Tallinna Kalev W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saku Sporting W scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Tallinna Kalev W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Away concern: Tallinna Kalev W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saku Sporting W VS Tallinna Kalev W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.8
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.4
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 80%
100% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Saku Sporting W

(Home)
26 Jul
Saku Sporting W
4 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond W
23 Jul
Saku Sporting W
2 : 1
Harju JK Laagri W
18 Jul
Viimsi JK W
4 : 1
Saku Sporting W
30 May
Saku Sporting W
1 : 5
Flora W
16 May
Paide Linnameeskond W
3 : 2
Saku Sporting W
Page 1 of 7

Tallinna Kalev W

(Away)
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 2
Tabasalu W
04 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
0 : 1
Viimsi JK W
01 Nov
Saku Sporting W
4 : 0
Tallinna Kalev W
19 Oct
Elva W
4 : 7
Tallinna Kalev W
14 Oct
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 6
Flora W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora W272511126:1176
2Saku Sporting W27182784:4756
3Viimsi JK W27155760:3250
4Tabasalu W271421151:5544
5Tallinna Kalev W27931558:7730
6Tammeka Tartu W27451832:9517
7Elva W27422128:9614
8FC Ararat W21521422:4817
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)