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Salaspils FK vs Leevon PPK Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Cvetkovs G.
16' Event
Boubakar T.
35' Event
Lazarenko N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-5, with Leevon PPK advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Salaspils FK
15%
Draws
50%
Leevon PPK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leevon PPK come out ahead of Salaspils FK on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Leevon PPK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Leevon PPK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Leevon PPK, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Salaspils FK Clean Sheet 12%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salaspils FK Leevon PPK
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 21
Draws 3 7
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 2.23 2.16
Goals Conceded 3.33 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Latvian Cup
Salaspils FK vs Leevon PPK
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salaspils FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvetkovs G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boubakar T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Krums R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kirkils G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salaspils FK 19 / 100
Leevon PPK 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salaspils FK Leevon PPK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Salaspils FK found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Leevon PPK has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Salaspils FK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Salaspils FK VS Leevon PPK
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Salaspils FK

(Home)
20 Jun
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Speks
30 May
Saldus NSS
0 : 4
Salaspils FK
21 Jun
Salaspils FK
4 : 5
Leevon PPK
01 Jun
RSU
0 : 6
Salaspils FK
18 May
Kuldigas/Goldingen
2 : 3
Salaspils FK
Page 1 of 6

Leevon PPK

(Away)
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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RFS -
Speks -
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FK Alberts -
Riga United -
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SK Babite -
Iecava -
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Kekava-Auda -
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Marupe -
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Grobina -
Livani -
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JFC Viola -
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Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
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FK Smiltene -
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks -
TBD -
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Upesciema Warriors -
TBD -
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Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 8
FK Limbazi 0
TBD -
FK Cesis -
TBD -
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Ogre United -
Plavinas -
TBD -
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Namejs -
Rigas Futbola Skola -
TBD -
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Bauskas / Memele -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
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Augsdaugavas -
RSU -
TBD -
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LSPA -
Kuldigas/Goldingen -
TBD -
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Salaspils FK -
Dienvidkurzemes -
TBD -
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DSVK Traktors -
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Leevon PPK -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava -
TBD -
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Lielupe -
TBD -
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Rezekne -
Talsi 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
Valka -
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JFK Ventspils -
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FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Speks 4
FK Alberts 3
Riga United 6
SK Babite 0
Iecava 1
Kekava-Auda 2
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Marupe -
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani 4
JFC Viola 0
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Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
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FK Smiltene -
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks 0
Upesciema Warriors 5
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Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 6
FK Cesis 0
TBD -
Ogre United -
Plavinas 4
Namejs 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 8
Bauskas / Memele 0
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
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Augsdaugavas -
RSU 5
LSPA 1
Kuldigas/Goldingen 2
Salaspils FK 3
Dienvidkurzemes 3
DSVK Traktors 0
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Leevon PPK -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 5
Lielupe 0
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Rezekne -
Aliance 9
Valka 1
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JFK Ventspils -
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FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Speks 0
Riga United 3
Kekava-Auda 0
Marupe 3
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani 0
Skanste 5
Alberts JDFS 5
FK Smiltene 3
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Upesciema Warriors 0
Riga Mariners 3
Valmiera 4
Ogre United 3
Plavinas 3
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
AFA Olaine 3
Augsdaugavas 1
RSU 0
Salaspils FK 6
Dienvidkurzemes 1
Leevon PPK 2
TBD -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 4
Rezekne 0
Aliance 0
JFK Ventspils 6
TBD -
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Riga United 0
Marupe 3
TBD -
FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Skanste 1
Alberts JDFS 2
TBD -
Super Nova -
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Riga Mariners 4
Valmiera 3
Plavinas 3
AFA Olaine 5
Salaspils FK 4
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 1
JFK Ventspils 3
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 0
RFS 1
Marupe 1
FK Metta 4
FK Auda Riga 1
Grobina 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Super Nova 3
Riga FC 4
Tukums 2000 0
Riga Mariners 6
AFA Olaine 1
Leevon PPK 2
BFC Daugavpils 4
JFK Ventspils 0
FK Liepaja 2
Quarter-finals
RFS 3
FK Metta 2
FK Auda Riga 3
Super Nova 1
Riga FC 10
Riga Mariners 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 2
Semi-finals
RFS 0
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 4
FK Liepaja 0
Final
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 1