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Salcedo vs Vega Real

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF 2025/2026
Salcedo Logo

Salcedo

1 - 0
FT
Vega Real Logo

Vega Real

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Almanzar J. C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The LDF 2025/2026 game between Salcedo and Vega Real finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salcedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Salcedo
20%
Draws
28%
Vega Real
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salcedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Salcedo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Salcedo a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Salcedo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Salcedo Clean Sheet 68%
Vega Real Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salcedo Vega Real
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 12 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.54 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 LDF
Salcedo vs Vega Real
3:1
Dec 18, 2025 LDF
Vega Real vs Salcedo
4:3
Oct 4, 2025 LDF
Salcedo vs Vega Real
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Copa de la LDF
Vega Real vs Salcedo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salcedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Almanzar J. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Vega Real Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salcedo 86 / 100
Vega Real 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salcedo Vega Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salcedo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salcedo found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (37 games).

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Salcedo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vega Real's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Salcedo VS Vega Real
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salcedo

(Home)
19 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 2
Salcedo
10 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Cibao
06 Sept
Atlantico FC
1 : 6
Salcedo
03 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
30 Aug
Salcedo
3 : 1
Vega Real
Page 1 of 8

Vega Real

(Away)
20 Sept
Delfines Del Este
1 : 0
Vega Real
12 Sept
Vega Real
5 : 0
Atlantico FC
05 Sept
Cibao
2 : 1
Vega Real
30 Aug
Salcedo
3 : 1
Vega Real
26 Aug
Vega Real
2 : 1
Universidad O&M
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Pantoja 18 14 1 3 32:11 43
2 Cibao 18 13 2 3 37:11 41
3 Salcedo 18 9 5 4 33:22 32
4 Delfines Del Este 18 7 6 5 31:20 27
5 Moca 18 6 6 6 21:21 24
6 Universidad O&M 18 6 5 7 29:26 23
7 Atlantico FC 18 6 4 8 25:28 22
8 Vega Real 18 6 2 10 24:26 20
9 Don Bosco Jarabacoa 18 4 5 9 16:25 17
10 San Cristobal 18 0 2 16 5:63 2
Promotion - LDF 2025/2026 (Winners stage)