Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saldus SS/Leevon vs Tukums 2000 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Baumanis R.
51' Event
Baumanis R.
80' Event
Udris R.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2023 game between Saldus SS/Leevon and Tukums 2000 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saldus SS/Leevon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Saldus SS/Leevon
15%
Draws
26%
Tukums 2000 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saldus SS/Leevon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Saldus SS/Leevon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Saldus SS/Leevon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Saldus SS/Leevon Clean Sheet 18%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saldus SS/Leevon Tukums 2000 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.63 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 1. Liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs Tukums 2000 2
2:1
May 20, 2023 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Saldus SS/Leevon
0:1
Oct 2, 2022 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Saldus SS/Leevon
2:2
May 21, 2022 1. Liga
Saldus SS/Leevon vs Tukums 2000 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saldus SS/Leevon Compare

Top Goalscorer Baumanis R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Udris R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saldus SS/Leevon 85 / 100
Tukums 2000 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saldus SS/Leevon Tukums 2000 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saldus SS/Leevon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tukums 2000 2 conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Saldus SS/Leevon scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Saldus SS/Leevon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tukums 2000 2
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Saldus SS/Leevon

(Home)
12 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 1
Saldus SS/Leevon
04 Nov
Grobina
1 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
29 Oct
Riga FC 2
2 : 2
Saldus SS/Leevon
22 Oct
Saldus SS/Leevon
3 : 0
Rezekne
08 Oct
Beitar
2 : 0
Saldus SS/Leevon
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Tukums 2000 2

(Away)
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grobina 26 21 3 2 71:17 66
2 Riga FC 2 26 20 4 2 85:15 64
3 Skanste 26 19 2 5 58:21 59
4 Alberts JDFS 26 13 8 5 60:36 47
5 Saldus SS/Leevon 26 12 4 10 40:28 40
6 RFS 2 26 11 4 11 58:42 37
7 Beitar 26 11 2 13 41:66 35
8 Tukums 2000 2 26 10 3 13 41:54 33
9 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 24:29 30
10 Valmiera 2 26 7 7 12 30:40 28
11 AFA Olaine 26 5 8 13 36:61 23
12 FK Smiltene 26 6 4 16 31:67 22
13 Dinamo Riga 26 5 3 18 27:66 18
14 Rezekne 26 3 4 19 18:78 13
Promotion - Virsliga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Relegation)