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Salernitana vs Scafatese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Arechi, Salerno
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salernitana host Scafatese in the Serie C - Group C. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Salernitana at 1.3 goals for, 1.06 against; Scafatese at 2.14 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Scafatese slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.38) back Scafatese to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Salernitana
35%
Draws
38%
Scafatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Scafatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Scafatese lately — more wins on the board than Salernitana.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Salernitana Clean Sheet 17%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salernitana Scafatese
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.3 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Salernitana vs Scafatese
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salernitana 36 / 100
Scafatese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salernitana Scafatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scafatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salernitana found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Scafatese let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Salernitana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salernitana VS Scafatese
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salernitana

(Home)
11 Oct
Casarano
0 : 0
Salernitana
04 Oct
Salernitana
2 : 1
Bari
26 Sept
Crotone
2 : 1
Salernitana
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
Page 1 of 7

Scafatese

(Away)
11 Oct
Scafatese
3 : 2
Sorrento
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0
Altamura
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 9 7 1 1 24:12 22
2 Bari 9 6 1 2 13:6 19
3 Sorrento 9 6 0 3 14:10 18
4 Catania 9 5 1 3 17:10 16
5 Casertana 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
6 Audace Cerignola 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 Inter U23 8 4 1 3 16:13 13
8 Scafatese 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
9 Salernitana 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Picerno 9 4 0 5 17:17 12
11 Cavese 9 3 3 3 15:15 12
12 Monopoli 9 3 3 3 7:7 12
13 Foggia 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
14 Casarano 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
15 A.C. Savoia 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
16 Barletta 9 1 5 3 12:15 8
17 Altamura 9 2 2 5 4:13 8
18 Giugliano 9 2 1 6 12:22 7
19 Cosenza 9 1 2 6 7:19 5
20 Crotone 9 1 3 5 10:15 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)