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Stadium Background

Salford vs Crawley Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Peninsula Stadium, Salford
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salford host Crawley Town in the League Two. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Crawley Town have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Salford have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.47. Past meetings favor Salford slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.06) point toward Salford. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Salford
15%
Draws
21%
Crawley Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Salford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Salford's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Salford Clean Sheet 20%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salford Crawley Town
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.47 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 League Two
Crawley Town vs Salford
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 League Two
Salford vs Crawley Town
4:3
Jan 13, 2024 League Two
Crawley Town vs Salford
0:1
Aug 12, 2023 League Two
Salford vs Crawley Town
1:1
Jan 28, 2023 League Two
Crawley Town vs Salford
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salford 49 / 100
Crawley Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salford Crawley Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Salford scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Crawley Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Salford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Salford VS Crawley Town
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Salford

(Home)
06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1
Salford
03 Oct
Salford
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
26 Sept
Oldham
1 : 4
Salford
22 Sept
Salford
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Swindon
Page 1 of 6

Crawley Town

(Away)
06 Oct
Crawley Town
4 : 0
Bromley
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Crawley Town
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2
Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)