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Stadium Background

Salford vs Newport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Peninsula Stadium, Salford
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Thomas J.
62'
Sub
Odoh A. In: N'Mai K.
Out: Odoh A.
66'
Sub
Bamba Y. In: Dibley-Dias M.
Out: Bamba Y.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Salford and Newport finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Salford
20%
Draws
38%
Newport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Salford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Salford Clean Sheet 20%
Newport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salford Newport
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 League Two
Salford vs Newport
2:1
Feb 17, 2026 League Two
Salford vs Newport
1:3
Aug 19, 2025 League Two
Newport vs Salford
0:1
Jan 28, 2025 League Two
Salford vs Newport
1:1
Oct 1, 2024 League Two
Newport vs Salford
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salford Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader N'Mai K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Newport Compare

Top Goalscorer Biggins H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salford 31 / 100
Newport 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salford Newport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salford scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Newport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Salford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Salford VS Newport
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salford

(Home)
06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1
Salford
03 Oct
Salford
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
26 Sept
Oldham
1 : 4
Salford
22 Sept
Salford
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Swindon
Page 1 of 6

Newport

(Away)
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3
Plymouth
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0
Newport
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1
Grimsby
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2
Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0
Newport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)