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Salgotarjani BTC vs Karcagi

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Northeast 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Szekely D.
79' Event
Csorgo R.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Northeast 2024/2025 game between Salgotarjani BTC and Karcagi finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karcagi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Salgotarjani BTC
20%
Draws
80%
Karcagi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karcagi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Salgotarjani BTC and Karcagi close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Karcagi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Karcagi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Salgotarjani BTC Clean Sheet 17%
Karcagi Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salgotarjani BTC Karcagi
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 NB III - Northeast
Salgotarjani BTC vs Karcagi
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 NB III - Northeast
Karcagi vs Salgotarjani BTC
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 NB III - Northeast
Karcagi vs Salgotarjani BTC
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 NB III - Northeast
Salgotarjani BTC vs Karcagi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salgotarjani BTC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Karcagi Compare

Top Goalscorer Szekely D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Csorgo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salgotarjani BTC 10 / 100
Karcagi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salgotarjani BTC Karcagi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karcagi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karcagi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Salgotarjani BTC found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Karcagi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salgotarjani BTC VS Karcagi
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salgotarjani BTC

(Home)
05 Sept
Salgotarjani BTC
0 : 1
DVTK II
29 Aug
Tiszafuredi
2 : 1
Salgotarjani BTC
26 Aug
Salgotarjani BTC
0 : 3
Hajdunanas
21 Aug
Salgotarjani BTC
0 : 2
Mateszalkai MTK
16 Aug
Cigand SE
2 : 0
Salgotarjani BTC
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Karcagi

(Away)
05 Sept
Gyirmot FC Gyor
2 : 0
Karcagi
30 Aug
Karcagi
2 : 1
Videoton
22 Aug
BVSC-Zuglo
1 : 4
Karcagi
16 Aug
Karcagi
3 : 3
Tiszakecske
08 Aug
Ajka
1 : 1
Karcagi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karcagi 30 21 7 2 66:25 70
2 Debreceni EAC 30 21 4 5 50:24 67
3 Putnok VSE 30 19 3 8 66:31 60
4 Tiszafuredi 30 14 8 8 50:43 50
5 Tiszaujvaros 30 14 7 9 41:39 49
6 Kisvarda FC II 30 12 9 9 37:36 45
7 Cigand SE 30 12 7 11 43:37 43
8 Eger 30 10 8 12 40:49 38
9 DVTK II 30 10 7 13 40:41 37
10 Debrecen II 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
11 Nyiregyhaza II 30 9 8 13 47:44 35
12 Senyo 30 9 5 16 41:61 32
13 Fuzesabony 30 8 6 16 36:51 30
14 Hatvan FC 30 7 9 14 29:45 30
15 Salgotarjani BTC 30 7 8 15 31:56 29
16 Mateszalkai MTK 30 3 5 22 25:53 14
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs 2024/2025 (Main)