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Salisbury vs Dover Ath.

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Willard T.
34' Event
Sheriff D.
45' Event
Jolliffe M.

AI Match Summary

The National League South 2025/2026 game between Salisbury and Dover Ath. finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salisbury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Salisbury
6%
Draws
4%
Dover Ath.
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Salisbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Salisbury carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Salisbury a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Salisbury Clean Sheet 20%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salisbury Dover Ath.
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 2.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National League South
Salisbury vs Dover Ath.
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Salisbury
2:0
May 12, 2013 National League South
Salisbury vs Dover Ath.
3:2
Apr 9, 2013 National League South
Salisbury vs Dover Ath.
1:1
Oct 20, 2012 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Salisbury
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salisbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Willard T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jolliffe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Dover Ath. Compare

Top Goalscorer Sheriff D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salisbury 85 / 100
Dover Ath. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salisbury Dover Ath.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salisbury found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Dover Ath. has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Salisbury stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salisbury VS Dover Ath.
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Salisbury

(Home)
18 Jul
Wimborne
1 : 3
Salisbury
11 Jul
Salisbury
2 : 3
Bristol Rovers
04 Jul
Amesbury Town
0 : 7
Salisbury
25 Apr
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Salisbury
18 Apr
Salisbury
2 : 1
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

Dover Ath.

(Away)
21 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 1
Deal Town
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
04 Jul
Margate
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2
Chesham
18 Apr
Maidenhead
1 : 0
Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)