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Salisbury vs Dover Ath. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salisbury host Dover Ath. in the National League South. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Dover Ath. have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Salisbury have conceded 1.15 and scored 2.26. Head-to-head, Salisbury have won 3 to Dover Ath.'s 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.13, favoring Salisbury. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Salisbury
15%
Draws
39%
Dover Ath.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salisbury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Dover Ath. haven't matched Salisbury's recent run of results.
  • Salisbury are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Salisbury Clean Sheet 20%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salisbury Dover Ath.
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.26 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National League South
Salisbury vs Dover Ath.
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Salisbury
2:0
May 12, 2013 National League South
Salisbury vs Dover Ath.
3:2
Apr 9, 2013 National League South
Salisbury vs Dover Ath.
1:1
Oct 20, 2012 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Salisbury
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salisbury 76 / 100
Dover Ath. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salisbury Dover Ath.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salisbury Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salisbury found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

Dover Ath.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Salisbury remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Salisbury VS Dover Ath.
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salisbury

(Home)
10 Oct
Farnham
1 : 2
Salisbury
03 Oct
Salisbury
5 : 0
Dulwich Hamlet
26 Sept
Salisbury
2 : 0
Folkestone
19 Sept
Salisbury
4 : 1
Taunton Town
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1
Salisbury
Page 1 of 6

Dover Ath.

(Away)
10 Oct
Dover Ath.
1 : 1
Dorking Wanderers
03 Oct
Hanwell Town
1 : 2
Dover Ath.
26 Sept
Dover Ath.
2 : 0
AFC Totton
19 Sept
Dover Ath.
4 : 2
Folkestone
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 11 7 1 3 20:12 22
2 Salisbury 11 6 3 2 20:8 21
3 Billericay 11 6 3 2 25:14 21
4 Truro 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
5 Dagenham & Red. 11 6 2 3 10:7 20
6 Weston-super-Mare 11 5 3 3 19:11 18
7 Dover Ath. 11 5 3 3 18:17 18
8 Tonbridge 11 5 2 4 20:11 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 11 4 5 2 23:17 17
10 Farnham 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
11 Torquay 11 4 4 3 18:15 16
12 Ebbsfleet 7 4 3 0 9:3 15
13 Chelmsford 10 2 8 0 14:8 14
14 Hemel Hempstead 11 3 5 3 10:10 14
15 Folkestone 11 3 4 4 16:13 13
16 Maidenhead 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
17 Horsham FC 10 2 5 3 10:12 11
18 Farnborough 10 3 2 5 8:17 11
19 Chesham 11 3 1 7 16:24 10
20 AFC Totton 10 3 1 6 8:16 10
21 Braintree 11 3 1 7 18:27 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 11 2 2 7 11:26 8
23 Walton & Hersham 11 2 2 7 10:27 8
24 Slough Town 11 1 1 9 11:29 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)