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Salitas vs AS Douanes

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Banao D.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Simde H.
74' Event
Kone K.

AI Match Summary

Salitas in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salitas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Salitas
15%
Draws
37%
AS Douanes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salitas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Salitas and AS Douanes have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Salitas taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Salitas Clean Sheet 20%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salitas AS Douanes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 13
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Salitas vs AS Douanes
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Salitas
2:2
May 5, 2025 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Salitas
0:2
Oct 17, 2024 Premier League
Salitas vs AS Douanes
0:2
May 17, 2024 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Salitas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salitas Compare

Top Goalscorer Simde H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kone K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

AS Douanes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salitas 36 / 100
AS Douanes 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salitas AS Douanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Salitas scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Salitas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

AS Douanes has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Salitas VS AS Douanes
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Salitas

(Home)
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
26 Apr
Vitesse
3 : 1
Salitas
19 Apr
Kadiogo
4 : 1
Salitas
10 Apr
Salitas
2 : 1
Sporting Cascades
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AS Douanes

(Away)
10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2
CFFEB
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Sonabel Ouagadougou
17 Apr
AS Douanes
1 : 1
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
10 Apr
Vitesse
0 : 1
AS Douanes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)