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Salitas vs ASF Dioulasso

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Borro M.
43' Event
Korbeogo D.
67' Event
Kabore J. P.

AI Match Summary

Salitas in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Salitas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Salitas
20%
Draws
29%
ASF Dioulasso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Salitas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Salitas average 1.03 goals a game right now, well clear of ASF Dioulasso's 0.94.
  • Win probability leans Salitas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Salitas Clean Sheet 20%
ASF Dioulasso Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salitas ASF Dioulasso
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.03 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Premier League
Salitas vs ASF Dioulasso
2:2
May 10, 2026 Premier League
Salitas vs ASF Dioulasso
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Salitas
0:0
Apr 28, 2025 Premier League
Salitas vs ASF Dioulasso
1:2
Oct 21, 2024 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Salitas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salitas Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabore J. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Josiah P. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

ASF Dioulasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Borro M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Korbeogo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salitas 49 / 100
ASF Dioulasso 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salitas ASF Dioulasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salitas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salitas's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

ASF Dioulasso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Salitas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Salitas VS ASF Dioulasso
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Salitas

(Home)
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
26 Apr
Vitesse
3 : 1
Salitas
19 Apr
Kadiogo
4 : 1
Salitas
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ASF Dioulasso

(Away)
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
ASF Dioulasso
0 : 2
Real Du Faso
18 Apr
Etoile Filante
0 : 1
ASF Dioulasso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)