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SalPa vs JJK Jyvaskyla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Salon urheilupuisto, Salo
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Rintamaki K.
44'
Heimonen J.
55' Event
Jakonen O.

AI Match Summary

SalPa in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SalPa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SalPa
15%
Draws
21%
JJK Jyvaskyla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SalPa lately — more wins on the board than JJK Jyvaskyla.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on SalPa taking it.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
SalPa Clean Sheet 12%
JJK Jyvaskyla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SalPa JJK Jyvaskyla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.07 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.66 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs JJK Jyvaskyla
4:3
Aug 5, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs JJK Jyvaskyla
2:1
May 16, 2026 Ykkonen
JJK Jyvaskyla vs SalPa
2:2
Sep 16, 2023 Ykkosliiga
SalPa vs JJK Jyvaskyla
2:2
Jul 15, 2023 Ykkosliiga
JJK Jyvaskyla vs SalPa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakonen O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kadowaki S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

JJK Jyvaskyla Compare

Top Goalscorer Rintamaki K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SalPa 83 / 100
JJK Jyvaskyla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SalPa JJK Jyvaskyla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SalPa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SalPa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

JJK Jyvaskyla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SalPa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SalPa VS JJK Jyvaskyla
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

SalPa

(Home)
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
SalPa
6 : 4
Tampere Utd
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
22 Aug
SalPa
4 : 1
OLS Oulu
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JJK Jyvaskyla

(Away)
25 Sept
Tampere Utd
4 : 0
JJK Jyvaskyla
19 Sept
JJK Jyvaskyla
1 : 3
OLS Oulu
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
JJK Jyvaskyla
4 : 1
KPV Kokkola
21 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa
2 : 2
JJK Jyvaskyla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)