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SalPa vs JJK Jyvaskyla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Salon urheilupuisto, Salo
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sub
Goljahanpoor A. In: Imonioro P. U.
Out: Goljahanpoor A.
6' Event
Jakonen O.
9' Event
Jakonen O.

AI Match Summary

SalPa in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SalPa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SalPa
15%
Draws
21%
JJK Jyvaskyla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • JJK Jyvaskyla haven't matched SalPa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans SalPa's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
SalPa Clean Sheet 12%
JJK Jyvaskyla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SalPa JJK Jyvaskyla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.07 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.66 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs JJK Jyvaskyla
4:3
Aug 5, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs JJK Jyvaskyla
2:1
May 16, 2026 Ykkonen
JJK Jyvaskyla vs SalPa
2:2
Sep 16, 2023 Ykkosliiga
SalPa vs JJK Jyvaskyla
2:2
Jul 15, 2023 Ykkosliiga
JJK Jyvaskyla vs SalPa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakonen O.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Meura J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

JJK Jyvaskyla Compare

Top Goalscorer Jalasvaara A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Imonioro P. U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SalPa 38 / 100
JJK Jyvaskyla 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SalPa JJK Jyvaskyla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SalPa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SalPa scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

JJK Jyvaskyla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

SalPa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SalPa VS JJK Jyvaskyla
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

SalPa

(Home)
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
SalPa
6 : 4
Tampere Utd
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
22 Aug
SalPa
4 : 1
OLS Oulu
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JJK Jyvaskyla

(Away)
25 Sept
Tampere Utd
4 : 0
JJK Jyvaskyla
19 Sept
JJK Jyvaskyla
1 : 3
OLS Oulu
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
JJK Jyvaskyla
4 : 1
KPV Kokkola
21 Aug
Keski-Uusimaa
2 : 2
JJK Jyvaskyla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 25 15 5 5 58:26 50
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 25 12 8 5 52:37 44
3 SalPa 25 12 6 7 52:45 42
4 OLS Oulu 25 11 8 6 50:37 41
5 Keski-Uusimaa 25 10 8 7 45:37 38
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 25 8 7 10 55:53 31
Promotion - Ykkosliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)