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SalPa vs OLS Oulu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Salon urheilupuisto, Salo
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Raittinen E.
27' Event
Kostian J.
34'
Ilola L.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between SalPa and OLS Oulu finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SalPa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SalPa
15%
Draws
39%
OLS Oulu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • OLS Oulu haven't matched SalPa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives SalPa a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
SalPa Clean Sheet 10%
OLS Oulu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SalPa OLS Oulu
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.07 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs OLS Oulu
4:1
Jun 6, 2026 Ykkonen
OLS Oulu vs SalPa
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadowaki S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kostian J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

OLS Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Raittinen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SalPa 47 / 100
OLS Oulu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SalPa OLS Oulu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SalPa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SalPa scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: OLS Oulu conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

SalPa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SalPa VS OLS Oulu
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SalPa

(Home)
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
SalPa
6 : 4
Tampere Utd
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
22 Aug
SalPa
4 : 1
OLS Oulu
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OLS Oulu

(Away)
26 Sept
OLS Oulu
3 : 0
Keski-Uusimaa
19 Sept
JJK Jyvaskyla
1 : 3
OLS Oulu
12 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
1 : 1
OLS Oulu
29 Aug
OLS Oulu
2 : 1
Tampere Utd
22 Aug
SalPa
4 : 1
OLS Oulu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)