Sport Picks

Finland

Ykkonen Salon urheilupuisto

VJS

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SalPa play VJS in the Ykkonen. It looks like a close match. Recently, SalPa averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. VJS averaged 2.85 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, SalPa won 3, VJS won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for SalPa and 2.31 for VJS. This points to a VJS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

SalPa

17%

Draws

49%

VJS

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: VJS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

SalPa picked up more points recently compared to VJS.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 2.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

SalPa Clean Sheet 10%

VJS Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SalPa	VJS
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	11	22
Draws	4	6
Losses	15	6
Goals Scored	1.57	2.85
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Ykkonen

VJS vs SalPa

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Aug 20, 2022 Kakkonen Group B

VJS vs SalPa

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

May 29, 2022 Kakkonen Group B

SalPa vs VJS

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Oct 16, 2021 Kakkonen Group B

VJS vs SalPa

Possession: 42% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Jun 30, 2021 Kakkonen Group B

SalPa vs VJS

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SalPa 33 / 100

VJS 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SalPa VJS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: VJS or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SalPa attacking → ← attacking VJS

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SalPa scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

VJS let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

SalPa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

VJS lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 72

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	12	9	1	2	25:6	28
2	JJK Jyvaskyla	13	7	3	3	35:21	24
3	RoPS Rovaniemi	12	6	4	2	24:12	22
4	OLS Oulu	13	6	4	3	25:15	22
5	SalPa	12	5	4	3	26:22	19
6	Keski-Uusimaa	11	5	3	3	21:13	18
7	VJS	11	4	4	3	19:13	16
8	Jazz Pori	12	5	2	5	14:19	14
9	FC Inter Turku 2	12	3	3	6	22:36	12
10	KuPS Akatemia	12	2	2	8	18:27	8
11	TPV	12	1	4	7	12:23	7
12	KPV Kokkola	12	1	2	9	10:44	5