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Salthill vs Galway United

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Buckley G.
32'
Burns B.
36' Event
Walsh S.

AI Match Summary

Galway United in this FAI Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Salthill
30%
Draws
33%
Galway United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salthill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Galway United have won more games recently than Salthill.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Galway United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Galway United, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Galway United have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Salthill Clean Sheet 15%
Galway United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salthill Galway United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 FAI Cup
Salthill vs Galway United
0:4
Aug 30, 2010 FAI Cup
Salthill vs Galway United
1:3
Aug 27, 2010 FAI Cup
Galway United vs Salthill
1:1
Apr 13, 2009 League Cup
Galway United vs Salthill
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salthill Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Galway United Compare

Top Goalscorer Buckley G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walsh S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salthill 35 / 100
Galway United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salthill Galway United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galway United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galway United let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Salthill found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Salthill stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salthill VS Galway United
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.6 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Salthill

(Home)
03 Oct
TU Dublin
1 : 1
Salthill
26 Sept
St Francis
4 : 1
Salthill
19 Sept
Salthill
2 : 0
Mayo FC
06 Sept
TU Dublin
2 : 2
Salthill
29 Aug
Salthill
4 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Galway United

(Away)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Drogheda -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Lucan Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
North End United 1
Castlebar Celtic 4
TBD -
Longford -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
College Corinthians 1
Bangor Celtic 2
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Midleton 0
Killester Donnycarney 6
TBD -
Bohemians -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Bray -
TBD -
Wayside Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 0
Cork City -
TBD -
Leicester Celtic AFC 2
Fanad United 1
Waterford -
TBD -
St Mochta's 4
Douglas Hall 0
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Ringmahon Rangers 1
University College Cork 3
Fairview Rangers 4
Baldoyle Utd. 0
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Salthill 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
St. Michaels -
Usher Celtic -
Galway United -
TBD -
Tolka 3
Janesboro 1
1/16-finals
Treaty United 1
Derry City 5
Drogheda 5
Crumlin Utd 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Wexford 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
Longford 6
Kerry 2
Athlone 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Cobh Ramblers 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Bohemians 7
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Finn Harps 3
UC Dublin 0
Bray 3
Wayside Celtic 0
Cork City 3
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
Waterford 5
St Mochta's 1
St. Patricks 8
University College Cork 0
Fairview Rangers 0
Shelbourne 4
Salthill 1
St. Michaels 0
Galway United 2
Tolka 0
1/8-finals
Derry City 1
Drogheda 2
Shamrock Rovers 2
Longford 1
Kerry 2
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Finn Harps 3
Bray 1
Cork City 2
Waterford 1
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 0
Salthill 0
Galway United 4
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Kerry 4
Sligo Rovers 3
Finn Harps 0
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 3
Galway United 1
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 6
Kerry 1
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 0
Final
Shamrock Rovers 2
Cork City 0