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Salthill vs St Francis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salthill host St Francis in the National League. Little to choose between these two on current form. St Francis have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while Salthill have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor St Francis slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (0.96 - 1.44) back Salthill to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Salthill
35%
Draws
25%
St Francis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Salthill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • St Francis haven't matched Salthill's recent run of results.
  • Salthill are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Salthill Clean Sheet 16%
St Francis Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salthill St Francis
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 3
Draws 4 10
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 National League
St Francis vs Salthill
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salthill 36 / 100
St Francis 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salthill St Francis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Francis has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Salthill found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Salthill stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Salthill VS St Francis
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
50% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Salthill

(Home)
03 Oct
TU Dublin
1 : 1
Salthill
26 Sept
St Francis
4 : 1
Salthill
19 Sept
Salthill
2 : 0
Mayo FC
06 Sept
TU Dublin
2 : 2
Salthill
29 Aug
Salthill
4 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
Page 1 of 6

St Francis

(Away)
26 Sept
St Francis
4 : 1
Salthill
19 Sept
TU Dublin
1 : 1
St Francis
12 Sept
St Francis
1 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
29 Aug
Mayo FC
1 : 0
St Francis
18 May
Midleton
3 : 0
St Francis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 5 3 2 0 16:5 11
2 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Lucan Utd 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Bonagee 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
2 Letterkenny Rovers 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
3 TU Dublin 5 1 3 1 10:12 6
4 Mayo FC 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
5 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 5 4 1 0 20:6 13
2 CK United FC 6 3 2 1 12:12 11
3 University College Cork 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Killarney Celtic 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
5 Newbridge Town 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams