Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saltillo vs Gavilanes de Matamoros

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Saltillo Logo

Saltillo

1 - 2
FT
Gavilanes de Matamoros Logo

Gavilanes de Matamoros

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ruiz Zamarron V. I.
10' Event
Ortega C.
55' Event
De Lucio J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gavilanes de Matamoros in this Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gavilanes de Matamoros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Saltillo
15%
Draws
42%
Gavilanes de Matamoros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saltillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Saltillo haven't matched Gavilanes de Matamoros's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gavilanes de Matamoros's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Saltillo Clean Sheet 17%
Gavilanes de Matamoros Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saltillo Gavilanes de Matamoros
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Gavilanes de Matamoros
1:2
Oct 21, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Saltillo
1:1
Mar 18, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Saltillo
4:1
Oct 22, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Gavilanes de Matamoros
1:1
Feb 26, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Saltillo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saltillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz Zamarron V. I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Gavilanes de Matamoros Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortega C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Lucio J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saltillo 23 / 100
Gavilanes de Matamoros 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saltillo Gavilanes de Matamoros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gavilanes de Matamoros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saltillo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Gavilanes de Matamoros let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Saltillo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saltillo VS Gavilanes de Matamoros
1.67 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 38%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saltillo

(Home)
26 Sept
Saltillo
3 : 2
Heroes de Zaci
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1
Saltillo
12 Sept
Saltillo
2 : 0
Correcaminos 2
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3
Saltillo
29 Aug
Saltillo
1 : 4
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Page 1 of 6

Gavilanes de Matamoros

(Away)
12 Apr
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 0
Zacatepec
04 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
2 : 0
Gavilanes de Matamoros
28 Mar
Cordobes FC
1 : 3
Gavilanes de Matamoros
21 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 3
Gavilanes de Matamoros
15 Mar
Gavilanes de Matamoros
0 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)