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Saluzzo vs Albenga

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Kone L.
16' Event
Castineira G.
27' Event
D'Arcangelo F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Saluzzo and Albenga finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saluzzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Saluzzo
30%
Draws
0%
Albenga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saluzzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Saluzzo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Saluzzo a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Saluzzo Clean Sheet 18%
Albenga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saluzzo Albenga
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 10 1
Draws 11 0
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.47 0.37
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Albenga
5:0
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Saluzzo
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saluzzo Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Arcangelo F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kone L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Albenga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saluzzo 58 / 100
Albenga 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saluzzo Albenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saluzzo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Albenga conceded in 100% of 19 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Saluzzo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Albenga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saluzzo VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saluzzo

(Home)
27 Sept
Saluzzo
0 : 0
Derthona FbC
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1
AS Biellese
Page 1 of 6

Albenga

(Away)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)