Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saluzzo vs Derthona FbC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Tocila A.
64' Event
Valenti D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Saluzzo
35%
Draws
34%
Derthona FbC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Derthona FbC have won more games recently than Saluzzo.
  • Saluzzo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Saluzzo Clean Sheet 20%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saluzzo Derthona FbC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Derthona FbC
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Saluzzo
1:3
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Saluzzo
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Derthona FbC
2:1
Mar 13, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Saluzzo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saluzzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenti D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Derthona FbC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tocila A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saluzzo 40 / 100
Derthona FbC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saluzzo Derthona FbC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saluzzo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saluzzo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Saluzzo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Derthona FbC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Saluzzo VS Derthona FbC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saluzzo

(Home)
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1
AS Biellese
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
Page 1 of 6

Derthona FbC

(Away)
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)