Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saluzzo vs Derthona FbC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Tocila A.
64' Event
Valenti D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Saluzzo
20%
Draws
38%
Derthona FbC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saluzzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Saluzzo average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Derthona FbC's 0.88.
  • Saluzzo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Saluzzo Clean Sheet 20%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saluzzo Derthona FbC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Derthona FbC
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Saluzzo
1:3
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Saluzzo
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Derthona FbC
2:1
Mar 13, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Saluzzo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saluzzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenti D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Derthona FbC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tocila A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saluzzo 42 / 100
Derthona FbC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saluzzo Derthona FbC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saluzzo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Derthona FbC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Saluzzo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saluzzo VS Derthona FbC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saluzzo

(Home)
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
26 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0
Saluzzo
19 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1
Saluzzo
02 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

Derthona FbC

(Away)
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0
Derthona FbC
12 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)