Sport Picks
Match Events
44'
44'
Attuoni A.
75'
75'
Kone L.
83'
83'
Pane M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Saluzzo and Sestri Levante finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sestri Levante.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saluzzo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Sestri Levante carry the better recent record into this one.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Saluzzo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sestri Levante have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Saluzzo Clean Sheet 68%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Saluzzo | Sestri Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Sestri Levante
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Saluzzo
2:5
Feb 12, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Sestri Levante
0:1
Nov 24, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Saluzzo
2:1
Jun 13, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Saluzzo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Saluzzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Kone L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Sestri Levante Compare
Top Goalscorer Attuoni A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Saluzzo 50 / 100
Sestri Levante 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Saluzzo Sestri Levante
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saluzzo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Saluzzo scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Sestri Levante let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.
Saluzzo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Saluzzo VS Sestri Levante
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Saluzzo
(Home) 16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1 Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2 Saluzzo
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1 AS Biellese
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1 Derthona FbC
26 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0 Saluzzo
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1 Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1 AS Biellese
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1 Derthona FbC
19 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1 Celle Varazze
02 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1 Sanremese
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Sestri Levante
(Away) 16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3 Fezzanese
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0 Asti Calcio
19 Aug
Sampdoria U20
1 : 4 Sestri Levante
15 Aug
Sestri Levante
1 : 1 Genoa U20
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
19 Aug
Sampdoria U20
1 : 4 Sestri Levante
07 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 2 Sestri Levante
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0 Sestri Levante
12 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0 Sestri Levante
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vado | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64:26 | 72 |
| 3 | AS Biellese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:29 | 57 |
| 4 | Varese FC | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 43:43 | 56 |
| 5 | Chisola | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 55 |
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:34 | 54 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:30 | 49 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:48 | 45 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Saluzzo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48:44 | 43 |
| 11 | Club Milano | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43:49 | 42 |
| 12 | Imperia Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | 41 |
| 13 | Cairese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 29:34 | 40 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:42 | 39 |
| 16 | Asti Calcio | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 32:52 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26:82 | 16 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)
