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Stadium Background

Saluzzo vs Sestri Levante

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Attuoni A.
75' Event
Kone L.
83' Event
Pane M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Saluzzo and Sestri Levante finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sestri Levante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Saluzzo
40%
Draws
29%
Sestri Levante
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sestri Levante carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sestri Levante have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Saluzzo Clean Sheet 20%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saluzzo Sestri Levante
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Sestri Levante
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Saluzzo
2:5
Feb 12, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Sestri Levante
0:1
Nov 24, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Saluzzo
2:1
Jun 13, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Saluzzo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saluzzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sestri Levante Compare

Top Goalscorer Attuoni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saluzzo 32 / 100
Sestri Levante 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saluzzo Sestri Levante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Saluzzo scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Sestri Levante let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Sestri Levante registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saluzzo VS Sestri Levante
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saluzzo

(Home)
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
26 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0
Saluzzo
19 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1
Saluzzo
02 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Sanremese
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Sestri Levante

(Away)
03 May
Sestri Levante
0 : 2
Sanremese
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
19 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Sestri Levante
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)