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Salyut-Belgorod vs Penza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salyut-Belgorod host Penza in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. This has Salyut-Belgorod written all over it on paper. Salyut-Belgorod have averaged 1.93 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Penza's 1 scored and 1.79 conceded. Head-to-head, Salyut-Belgorod have won 3 to Penza's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Salyut-Belgorod. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Salyut-Belgorod
30%
Draws
9%
Penza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Salyut-Belgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Salyut-Belgorod come out ahead of Penza on wins alone.
  • Model gives Salyut-Belgorod a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Salyut-Belgorod Clean Sheet 20%
Penza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salyut-Belgorod Penza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Salyut-Belgorod vs Penza
2:0
Aug 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod
2:2
Apr 28, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Salyut-Belgorod vs Penza
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salyut-Belgorod 85 / 100
Penza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salyut-Belgorod Penza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salyut-Belgorod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salyut-Belgorod went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Salyut-Belgorod scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Penza conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Salyut-Belgorod VS Penza
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salyut-Belgorod

(Home)
11 Oct
Strogino Moscow
1 : 6
Salyut-Belgorod
03 Oct
Salyut-Belgorod
3 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk 2
26 Sept
FK Shumbrat Saransk
0 : 1
Salyut-Belgorod
19 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
2 : 2
Spartak Tambov
12 Sept
Kursk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
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Penza

(Away)
10 Oct
Penza
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow 3
03 Oct
M. Lipetsk
2 : 0
Penza
30 Sept
Ryazan
2 : 0
Penza
26 Sept
Penza
1 : 1
Saturn Ramenskoye
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
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