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Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Buqaa

Jordan Jordan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Diakhate D.
43' Event
Abu Aqoleh O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sama Al Sarhan
44%
Draws
20%
Al Buqaa
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Buqaa have won more games recently than Sama Al Sarhan.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Buqaa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sama Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 10%
Al Buqaa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sama Al Sarhan Al Buqaa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Al Buqaa vs Sama Al Sarhan
4:2
Nov 28, 2025 Shield Cup
Al Buqaa vs Sama Al Sarhan
3:0
Oct 31, 2025 Premier League
Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Buqaa
1:1
Jul 31, 2025 Premier League
Al Buqaa vs Sama Al Sarhan
2:0
Mar 13, 2019 Jordan Cup
Al Buqaa vs Sama Al Sarhan
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sama Al Sarhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Diakhate D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Al Buqaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Aqoleh O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sama Al Sarhan 34 / 100
Al Buqaa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sama Al Sarhan Al Buqaa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Buqaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Al Buqaa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sama Al Sarhan scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sama Al Sarhan VS Al Buqaa
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Hussein27195370:1762
2Al-Faisaly Amman27175552:2556
3Al Wehdat27166545:1954
4Al Ramtha27139540:2648
5Al Salt27971133:3534
6Al Jazeera Amman27871228:4531
7Shabab Al Ordon27781222:3729
8Al Buqaa27771341:6628
9Al Ahli27591326:4424
10Sama Al Sarhan27132315:586