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Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Buqaa

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Diakhate D.
43' Event
Abu Aqoleh O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sama Al Sarhan
15%
Draws
85%
Al Buqaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Buqaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Buqaa have won more games recently than Sama Al Sarhan.
  • Win probability leans Al Buqaa's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Buqaa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sama Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 10%
Al Buqaa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sama Al Sarhan Al Buqaa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.73 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Al Buqaa vs Sama Al Sarhan
4:2
Nov 28, 2025 Shield Cup
Al Buqaa vs Sama Al Sarhan
3:0
Oct 31, 2025 Premier League
Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Buqaa
1:1
Jul 31, 2025 Premier League
Al Buqaa vs Sama Al Sarhan
2:0
Mar 13, 2019 Jordan Cup
Al Buqaa vs Sama Al Sarhan
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sama Al Sarhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Diakhate D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Al Buqaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Aqoleh O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sama Al Sarhan 26 / 100
Al Buqaa 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sama Al Sarhan Al Buqaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Buqaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Al Buqaa let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Al Buqaa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sama Al Sarhan scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sama Al Sarhan VS Al Buqaa
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sama Al Sarhan

(Home)
08 May
Shabab Al Ordon
2 : 0
Sama Al Sarhan
03 May
Sama Al Sarhan
0 : 2
Al Hussein
27 Apr
Al Ramtha
2 : 0
Sama Al Sarhan
23 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
0 : 4
Al Hussein
14 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
2 : 3
Al Ahli
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Al Buqaa

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Buqaa
0 : 4
Al-Faisaly Amman
11 Sept
Al Hussein
0 : 0
Al Buqaa
03 Sept
Al Buqaa
1 : 0
Doqarah
07 May
Al Ramtha
5 : 2
Al Buqaa
04 May
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al Buqaa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 27 19 5 3 70:17 62
2 Al-Faisaly Amman 27 17 5 5 52:25 56
3 Al Wehdat 27 16 6 5 45:19 54
4 Al Ramtha 27 13 9 5 40:26 48
5 Al Salt 27 9 7 11 33:35 34
6 Al Jazeera Amman 27 8 7 12 28:45 31
7 Shabab Al Ordon 27 7 8 12 22:37 29
8 Al Buqaa 27 7 7 13 41:66 28
9 Al Ahli 27 5 9 13 26:44 24
10 Sama Al Sarhan 27 1 3 23 15:58 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)