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Sama vs Al Ahli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jordan Jordan

Jordan Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sama
15%
Draws
65%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Al Ahli have won more games recently than Sama.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli taking it.
  • Al Ahli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ahli, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sama Clean Sheet 24%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sama Al Ahli
Matches Played 8 42
Wins 2 16
Draws 0 14
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Jordan Cup
Sama vs Al Ahli
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sama 13 / 100
Al Ahli 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sama Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli let in goals in 71% of their last 42 matches.

Sama's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Sama has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sama VS Al Ahli
0 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sama

(Home)
09 Oct
Sama
0 : 1
Al Ahli
20 Oct
Al Hussein
10 : 1
Sama
28 Sept
Moghayer Al Sarhan
1 : 0
Sama
25 Aug
Sama
1 : 0
Al Karmal
18 Aug
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 0
Sama
Page 1 of 2

Al Ahli

(Away)
09 Oct
Sama
0 : 1
Al Ahli
08 May
Al Wehdat
2 : 0
Al Ahli
04 May
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al Buqaa
24 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 2
Al Faisaly Amman
14 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
2 : 3
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Amman 1
Jerash SC 2
Hay Al Amir 3
Al Tora 0
Sama Al Sarhan 1
Ittihad Al Ramtha 2
Al Yarmouk 4
Maan 1
Sama 0
Al Ahli 1
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Semi-finals
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Final
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