Sport Picks

India

Durand Cup

Baghpat

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Durand Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Samaleswari SC have averaged 1 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Baghpat's 2.88 scored and 0.75 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.88 - 1.85) back Baghpat to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Samaleswari SC

44%

Draws

20%

Baghpat

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Baghpat have won more games recently than Samaleswari SC.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Baghpat arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 48%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Samaleswari SC Clean Sheet 10%

Baghpat Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Samaleswari SC	Baghpat
Matches Played	4	9
Wins	2	6
Draws	0	2
Losses	2	1
Goals Scored	1	2.88
Goals Conceded	0.83	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.83	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaleswari SC 34 / 100

Baghpat 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Samaleswari SC Baghpat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Samaleswari SC scored in 75% of their last 4 outings.

Defensive concern: Baghpat conceded in 56% of 9 recent games.

Samaleswari SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Baghpat's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Samaleswari SC VS Baghpat

1 Goals Scored 2.88

0.83 Goals Conceded 0.75

33% Over 1.5 63%

33% Over 2.5 63%

33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaleswari SC

(Home)

06 May

Samaleswari SC

0 : 1

TRAU FC

04 May

Mumbay FC

1 : 4

Samaleswari SC

30 Apr

CD Salgaocar

0 : 1

Samaleswari SC

28 Apr

Samaleswari SC

1 : 3

Zinc FA

Baghpat

(Away)

24 May

Sunrise Club

1 : 0

Baghpat

22 May

Baghpat

4 : 2

Chhaygaon

20 May

Baghpat

3 : 1

Raengdai

18 May

TRAU FC

0 : 1

Baghpat

16 May

KLASA

0 : 0

Baghpat

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