Sport Picks

India

Durand Cup

Samaleswari SC

4 - 1

Baghpat

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Tareck Marat D.

30'

C Cleetus C.

45'

Krizo G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Samaleswari SC

15%

Draws

21%

Baghpat

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samaleswari SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Baghpat have won more games recently than Samaleswari SC.
64% — that's where the model lands on Samaleswari SC taking it.
Baghpat arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Samaleswari SC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 60%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Samaleswari SC Clean Sheet 10%

Baghpat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Samaleswari SC	Baghpat
Matches Played	7	12
Wins	4	6
Draws	0	2
Losses	3	4
Goals Scored	1.86	2
Goals Conceded	1.29	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Durand Cup

Samaleswari SC vs Baghpat

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samaleswari SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bhat B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Tareck Marat D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Baghpat Compare

Top Goalscorer C Cleetus C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.89

Avg xA / game 1.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaleswari SC 83 / 100

Baghpat 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Samaleswari SC Baghpat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samaleswari SC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Samaleswari SC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (7 games).

Baghpat let in goals in 67% of their last 12 matches.

Recent resilience: Samaleswari SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samaleswari SC VS Baghpat

1.86 Goals Scored 2.88

1.29 Goals Conceded 0.75

57% Over 1.5 63%

57% Over 2.5 63%

57% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaleswari SC

(Home)

02 Aug

Mohammedan

2 : 3

Samaleswari SC

30 Jul

Samaleswari SC

4 : 1

Baghpat

26 Jul

Army Red

1 : 0

Samaleswari SC

06 May

Samaleswari SC

0 : 1

TRAU FC

04 May

Mumbay FC

1 : 4

Samaleswari SC

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Baghpat

(Away)

05 Aug

Army Red

4 : 0

Baghpat

30 Jul

Samaleswari SC

4 : 1

Baghpat

27 Jul

Mohammedan

4 : 0

Baghpat

24 May

Sunrise Club

1 : 0

Baghpat

22 May

Baghpat

4 : 2

Chhaygaon

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